Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.120253 1.262362 1.417412 1.599439 1.807657 2.038832 2.315536
2026-01-11 0.924749 1.117324 1.344175 1.632331 1.990323 2.422646 2.987593
2026-01-18 0.785360 1.003992 1.278129 1.649784 2.144591 2.786398 3.691170
2026-01-25 0.669343 0.896455 1.196368 1.625823 2.232200 3.068564 4.328221
2026-02-01 0.567023 0.789469 1.096250 1.556348 2.239454 3.232987 4.818407
2026-02-08 0.493589 0.711039 1.022626 1.509561 2.265823 3.419857 5.361418
2026-02-15 0.438210 0.650810 0.966105 1.477545 2.305204 3.625254 5.958050
2026-02-22 0.410752 0.628320 0.961949 1.523245 2.469182 4.045650 6.972560
2026-03-01 0.380454 0.597561 0.940625 1.537154 2.580281 4.390218 7.907717
2026-03-08 0.344856 0.554325 0.894161 1.502555 2.601927 4.579529 8.584739
2026-03-15 0.313640 0.515025 0.849809 1.465634 2.613136 4.748637 9.246291
2026-03-22 0.302701 0.508614 0.860054 1.525826 2.808687 5.286862 10.737457
2026-03-29 0.287338 0.494140 0.856640 1.564283 2.975523 5.808802 12.328242
2026-04-05 0.272341 0.478943 0.850550 1.597441 3.137887 6.350170 14.080715
2026-04-12 0.256632 0.460884 0.837283 1.614966 3.271058 6.852300 15.852265
2026-04-19 0.237504 0.434583 0.805722 1.591777 3.314768 7.165785 17.235468
2026-04-26 0.215299 0.400366 0.755485 1.523996 3.251601 7.226626 17.992051
2026-05-03 0.197817 0.373780 0.717766 1.478321 3.231746 7.385561 19.042077
2026-05-10 0.183548 0.352300 0.688282 1.447053 3.240746 7.615410 20.337772
2026-05-17 0.177907 0.347669 0.692852 1.491718 3.435901 8.341368 23.218795
2026-05-24 0.169812 0.337260 0.684256 1.505313 3.557067 8.897341 25.732535
2026-05-31 0.158325 0.318784 0.656696 1.471506 3.554291 9.122263 27.273910
2026-06-07 0.147632 0.301149 0.629430 1.435427 3.540904 9.316392 28.766553